President Obama needs to make several key points in his speech before engaging in a conflict against ISIS.
President Obama is expected to make a speech later today that will outline his case in the U.S. involvement in disrupting ISIS. While there has been someĀ criticisms in regards to the President's previous remarks regarding the new terrorist organization, today's speech is critical to convince not only Congress but also the American people in the eventual U.S. involvement in another Middle East crisis.
While some analysts would like to compare tonight's speech to President Bush's speech on the War on Iraq, the current situation is different. Virtually every state actor in the Middle East, including Iran, feels threatened to ISIS' continued unchecked expansion in the region. Furthermore, the situation with ISIS is evolving too quickly as the terrorist group beheads American journalists while holding Turkish citizens hostage and having vast regions under lock down with tough authoritative rule.
Tonight, President Obama needs to make a couple of key points in his speech. First, he needs to explain how America is going to engage in this conflict with the backing of the international community despite conflicting relationships among different state actors in the Middle East. Almost every nation in the Middle East has acted or is ready to act against the ISIS threat, but there are complex relationships that make it difficult to form a unified coalition among Middle East nations. Granted, forming a coalition only among European allies and other non-Middle East nations is easier, but the President needs to involve multiple Middle East partners to make the Islamic world inclusive in this fight against terrorism that threatens the region.
Second, the President needs to show a clear picture of the end game. To prevent the U.S. from entering another perpetual conflict, the President needs to articulate clearly the mission's objective and what defines victory.
Third, the President needs to mention the hundreds of thousands of refugees that fled the conflict. While ISIS categorically is a threat against the U.S., the President needs to highlight the human causality caused by this terrorist group. Given that foreign policy might not be the top priority with some Americans, highlighting the human cost to the conflict is necessary to convey the realism of the situation.
Tonight's speech might be one of the significant developments in U.S. foreign policy. However, with the immense pressure from the upcoming congressional election, the President might need to push hard to gain political and legal support he needs in order for America to pursue against the ISIS' threat.